Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.027096 0.029476 0.031967 0.034772 0.037842 0.041103 0.044831
2025-07-13 0.023085 0.026493 0.030270 0.034771 0.039998 0.045887 0.053040
2025-07-20 0.020546 0.024535 0.029144 0.034878 0.041841 0.050047 0.060486
2025-07-27 0.018759 0.023132 0.028363 0.035102 0.043590 0.053970 0.067694
2025-08-03 0.017138 0.021717 0.027356 0.034843 0.044573 0.056858 0.073653
2025-08-10 0.016058 0.020851 0.026908 0.035170 0.046216 0.060573 0.080806
2025-08-17 0.014828 0.019675 0.025944 0.034702 0.046712 0.062733 0.085938
2025-08-24 0.013714 0.018559 0.024959 0.034098 0.046927 0.064454 0.090493
2025-08-31 0.012838 0.017695 0.024240 0.033781 0.047470 0.066599 0.095710
2025-09-07 0.012078 0.016937 0.023605 0.033518 0.048036 0.068762 0.101029
2025-09-14 0.011426 0.016286 0.023073 0.033348 0.048696 0.071057 0.106636
2025-09-21 0.010766 0.015580 0.022414 0.032942 0.048958 0.072747 0.111384
2025-09-28 0.010304 0.015159 0.022175 0.033188 0.050284 0.076215 0.119297
2025-10-05 0.009806 0.014659 0.021795 0.033201 0.051260 0.079223 0.126722
2025-10-12 0.009375 0.014231 0.021492 0.033306 0.052371 0.082486 0.134760
2025-10-19 0.009005 0.013875 0.021273 0.033519 0.053649 0.086070 0.143549
2025-10-26 0.008559 0.013370 0.020791 0.033273 0.054149 0.088393 0.150325
2025-11-02 0.008271 0.013100 0.020662 0.033585 0.055578 0.092325 0.160132
2025-11-09 0.007842 0.012579 0.020098 0.033139 0.055691 0.094013 0.166054
2025-11-16 0.007419 0.012044 0.019482 0.032564 0.055538 0.095216 0.171148
2025-11-23 0.007079 0.011629 0.019042 0.032262 0.055833 0.097207 0.177802
2025-11-30 0.006772 0.011253 0.018646 0.032012 0.056198 0.099326 0.184819
2025-12-07 0.006500 0.010924 0.018314 0.031850 0.056705 0.101720 0.192504